Gold scenario framework adopted — $250 a month into GLDM to a 10% target; Daily Watch, Quarterly Act
| Date | 2026-10-10 |
|---|---|
| Category | Macro & Rates |
| Judgement | Neutral |
| Gauge weight | 3 / 3 |
| Source | Gold framework adoption record — user decision and Sampo–Gemini convergence, 2026-10-10 (debate brief: gold framework adopted 2026-10-10) |
Summary
On October 10, 2026, gold was confirmed for inclusion: $250 a month into GLDM until it reaches 10% of the portfolio. Scenario A would discuss trimming gold and Scenario B holding or strengthening it, but actual changes were reserved for quarterly gates only.
A/B Impact Analysis
This item is not market data but the event that created this ledger's judging system. Gold was redefined from a static hedge into a sensor for the macro path, and the three daily tells — TIPS with BEI, gold versus real-yield decoupling, and HY OAS — were set at the same time. It is the starting point that makes A-versus-B calls rest on pre-agreed gauges rather than sentiment, hence the high weight. All later gold items must be read inside this frame.